A Better Way to Forecast
通常価格
¥1,144 JPY
通常価格
セール価格
¥1,144 JPY
単価
あたり
Every business decision depends on making a forecast of the consequences of the decision. Although most organizations do forecasting, most do so badly. They ask either for a point prediction-a single "best guess" forecast, when everyone knows that this is an oversimplification of the truth, or for a simple range forecast, which is likely to result in biased predictions more often than not. In this article, the authors propose a better approach, one that takes seriously the uncertainty in forecasting and the most common errors in the way people think about this uncertainty.
【書誌情報】
ページ数:11ページ
サイズ:A4
商品番号:HBSP-CMR579
発行日:2014/12/15
登録日:2015/1/14